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McDonald's Q3 Earnings Preview: Will Value Strategy Pay Off?

11/5/2025
McDonald's is gearing up to report its Q3 earnings, with analysts anticipating $3.33 EPS and $7.1 billion in revenue. Despite concerns over consumer spending, the fast-food giant may showcase growth in same-store sales for the second consecutive quarter, thanks to its value-centric strategy and menu revivals.
McDonald's Q3 Earnings Preview: Will Value Strategy Pay Off?
McDonald's is expected to report strong Q3 earnings, with analysts predicting growth in same-store sales. Will its value strategy win over consumers?

McDonald's Anticipated Third-Quarter Earnings Report

McDonald's is poised to announce its third-quarter earnings before the market opens on Wednesday. Analysts surveyed by LSEG have set their expectations for the fast-food giant, forecasting significant figures that could impact its stock performance. Specifically, they anticipate earnings per share of $3.33 and revenue reaching $7.1 billion.

Consumer Spending Trends and Same-Store Sales Growth

As a major player in the fast-food industry, McDonald's often serves as a bellwether for the overall financial health of consumers. Over the past year, the company has consistently highlighted concerns regarding a decline in spending among low-income diners. Despite these challenges, Wall Street analysts predict that McDonald's will demonstrate growth in same-store sales for the second consecutive quarter, indicating that its value strategy is successfully attracting customers.

Menu Innovations and Promotions

In an effort to rejuvenate its offerings and draw in more customers, McDonald's has made notable changes to its menu. Kicking off the third quarter, the beloved Snack Wraps made a comeback after a nine-year hiatus, rekindling nostalgia among loyal fans. Additionally, the return of Extra Value Meals in September marked a significant promotional effort, as these meals had not been featured since before the Covid-19 pandemic.

Global Sales Projections

Analysts project that McDonald's will report a global same-store sales growth of 3.5%, according to estimates from StreetAccount. Notably, the company's international markets are expected to outperform the U.S. market, where same-store sales growth is projected at 1.9%. This distinction highlights the varying performance levels across McDonald's vast operational landscape.

Stock Performance and Market Capitalization

Despite the positive sales outlook, McDonald's stock has seen only a 3% increase this year. Investor concerns surrounding the broader restaurant industry and the overall economy have contributed to the restrained growth in shares. Currently, McDonald's boasts a market capitalization exceeding $212 billion, solidifying its status as a significant player in the fast-food sector.

Conclusion

As McDonald's prepares to release its third-quarter earnings, the expectations set by analysts reflect a cautiously optimistic outlook amid broader economic challenges. With strategic menu changes and a focus on value, the iconic burger chain aims to continue winning over customers while navigating the complexities of consumer spending trends.

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