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Emmy Predictions: Who Will Take Home the Gold This Year?

7/16/2025
As Emmy nomination excitement fades, the real question looms: which series will claim victory? With frontrunners like 'Severance' and 'The Studio', the competition is fierce. Discover the latest predictions and surprises as the Emmy night approaches!
Emmy Predictions: Who Will Take Home the Gold This Year?
The race for the Emmys heats up! Explore the predictions for this year's biggest winners among top nominees like 'Severance' and 'The Studio.'

The excitement surrounding Emmy nomination morning quickly dissipates for studios and networks, as they grapple with a pressing question: how do we actually win the coveted awards? While it may be tempting to evaluate frontrunners based solely on their nomination tallies, the Emmys are notoriously complex and unpredictable. For instance, the drama series “Severance” leads the pack with an impressive 27 nominations, followed closely by the satirical comedy “The Studio” with a record-breaking 23, and the villainous limited series “The Penguin” boasting 24 nods. However, when it comes to the Emmys, success is rarely straightforward.

The Competitive Drama Categories

In the drama categories, the competition appears to be heating up between Apple TV+’s “Severance” and HBO Max’s critically acclaimed newcomer “The Pitt”, which secured 13 nominations. Winning on Emmy night is not just about accumulating nominations; it’s about assembling the “winning package.” Both “Severance” and “The Pitt” have garnered impressive support from the Television Academy’s four largest branches: Executives, Actors, Writers, and Editors.

The lead drama actor category features an intense faceoff between Adam Scott from “Severance” and Noah Wyle from “The Pitt”. Wyle, who was nominated four times for his iconic role in “ER” more than 25 years ago, may finally capture his moment in the spotlight. Meanwhile, Ben Stiller’s gripping finale for “Severance”, titled “Cold Harbor”, could provide him an edge in the directing category. However, with co-director Jessica Lee Gagné also in contention, the potential for vote-splitting raises concerns, reminiscent of “Shōgun”’s fate last year.

In the lead drama actress category, Britt Lower from “Severance” stands a chance, particularly as the legendary Kathy Bates is the sole nominee for “Matlock”. Historically, no actor has won when representing their series alone, a trend that has persisted for 20 years, and one that Bates hopes to reverse. Additionally, Tramell Tillman has the opportunity to make history in the supporting drama actor category as the enigmatic Milchik in “Severance”. If he wins, he will be the first Black performer to ever secure that award, making this a highly anticipated race to watch.

The Comedy Landscape

In the realm of comedy, the focus shifts from whether “The Studio” can win to how many awards it might take home. This breakout satire has obliterated the previous nomination record held by “Ted Lasso” and is tied with “The Bear” for the most-nominated comedy series of all time. While “The Bear” achieved substantial numbers again, its third season did not receive the same critical acclaim as its predecessors. On the other hand, “Hacks” had a commendable showing but fell short in the supporting actor category with Paul W. Downs missing out on a nomination.

Seth Rogen, nominated for producing, directing, writing, and starring in “The Studio”, could join the elite ranks of individuals who have won four Emmys in a single night, alongside luminaries like Moira Demos (2016), Amy Sherman-Palladino (2018), and Dan Levy (2020). The supporting comedy actor category is wide open, featuring sentimental favorite Harrison Ford from “Shrinking”, two-time champion Ebon Moss-Bachrach from “The Bear”, and scene-stealer Ike Barinholtz from “The Studio” as strong contenders.

On the actress side, Catherine O’Hara — nominated for both “The Studio” and a guest appearance on “The Last of Us” — could serve as a spoiler in the supporting comedy actress category. With Abbott Elementary receiving its lowest nomination count to date (only six), the door may finally be open for overdue contenders like Janelle James or Hacks standout Hannah Einbinder.

The Limited Series Showdown

The limited or anthology categories promise fierce competition. While “The Penguin” lived up to expectations with 24 nominations, the surprise contender is the British drama “Adolescence”, which scored 13 nods and is seen as a frontrunner in at least six categories. Owen Cooper and Erin Doherty are formidable contenders in the supporting acting categories, and the show is also a significant threat in directing, writing, and cinematography categories.

Colin Farrell’s portrayal of the sinister mob boss in “The Penguin” will face tough competition from Stephen Graham’s gripping performance in “Adolescence”. This showdown is likely to go down to the wire on September 14. In the lead limited actress category, the competition is fierce between Cristin Milioti from “The Penguin” and Emmy winner Michelle Williams from “Dying for Sex”. If voters focus solely on the third season of “The Bear”, Liza Colón-Zayas might be on track for another win after making history as the first Latina to win supporting actress in a comedy last year.

However, “The Bear” is currently in a precarious position. Several past acting wins for the show — including those for Moss-Bachrach and Ayo Edebiri — came a season early. With mixed buzz surrounding Season 4 and creator Christopher Storer snubbed in both writing and directing categories, the momentum for winning may be waning.

Final Thoughts and Predictions

The final round of Emmy voting begins on August 18, setting the stage for a flurry of campaigning, strategic moves, and last-minute narrative shifts. As the Emmy night approaches, the first predictions for winners will emerge, with official updates to the Emmy predictions pages available over the next week. Stay tuned for an exciting showdown of talent and creativity at this year’s Emmys!

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