This summer, New York Giants running back Tyrone Tracy took a proactive approach by ordering grip strengtheners on Amazon. This decision was aimed at improving his ability to hold onto the football more securely during the upcoming season. On the flip side, I searched for common-sense pills online to enhance my betting picks this year, but unfortunately, none were available. Instead, I have opted for more rest and upgraded glasses, which I hope will improve my decision-making. After a challenging last season, I feel optimistic as I analyze this year's projected season win totals. I aim to "zig" when others "zag," understanding that zigging without reason can adversely affect my betting outcomes.
This year, I meticulously reviewed every team's offseason moves, draft picks, and unique schedule quirks. For instance, the San Francisco 49ers face no teams coming off a bye this season, a significant change from last year's tough schedule that saw them do so four times. Conversely, the New York Giants have a daunting opening eight-game stretch that will likely lead fans to call for backup quarterback Jaxson Dart by Halloween, regardless of how well Russell Wilson performs. Such trends pose significant challenges for a coach in a precarious position.
Here are my highly anticipated picks for every team's win-loss over/under, including six best bets and an intriguing MVP longshot for your consideration. Please note that all betting lines are based on the time the pick was made and are subject to change.
Despite a disappointing season last year, the Houston Texans managed to win 10 games and nearly upset the Chiefs in the playoffs. They displayed a strong record of 4-1 in games featuring both Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs, although injuries and predictable play calling exposed their weak offensive line. C.J. Stroud was sacked 54 times, leading to understandable jitters. Although the offensive line remains a concern, new offensive coordinator Nick Caley is expected to be more innovative than his predecessor. The additions of receivers Christian Kirk, Jayden Higgins, and Jaylin Noel alongside Collins could help the Texans secure at least 10 wins for the third consecutive season.
New England Patriots Under 8.5 (+100)While we respect Mike Vrabel's coaching abilities, the hype surrounding his appointment as the New England Patriots head coach seems exaggerated. Coming off back-to-back four-win seasons and a point differential of -128, it's hard to see how the Patriots can double their win total this year. Although Vrabel made the playoffs three times in Tennessee, he was dismissed after two losing seasons. The Patriots' roster, featuring quarterback Drake Maye and a young secondary, lacks the depth required to achieve nine wins.
Minnesota Vikings Over 9.5 (+105)Despite the narrative that Sam Darnold's playoff collapse ruined the Minnesota Vikings 14-win season, the team has made significant improvements. With tackle Christian Darrisaw returning from injury, the Vikings are set to have one of the league's best offensive lines again, not to mention the presence of the best receiver in the NFL. The defense, under coordinator Brian Flores, has also improved with the additions of Jonathan Allen and Javon Hargrave. With a solid roster, this team is likely to win at least 10 games this season.
Dallas Cowboys Under 8.5 (-140)The Dallas Cowboys had a relatively quiet offseason, opting for internal promotions and not making any significant signings. While they acquired receiver George Pickens, concerns persist about their running game and the loss of Rico Dowdle. The team's brutal schedule from Week 12 to 15, featuring games against the Eagles, Chiefs, Lions, and Vikings, could lead to a disappointing season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 9.5 (-110)The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have consistently secured their projected win total in recent seasons, with all 11 offensive starters returning this year. The team made a smart move by retaining receiver Chris Godwin and adding first-round pick Emeka Egbuka to an already formidable offense featuring Mike Evans. Despite a new offensive coordinator, the Buccaneers are expected to perform well, bolstered by their depth and talent.
Detroit Lions Over 10.5 (+110)After winning 15 games last season, the Detroit Lions are facing uncertainty due to the loss of key coordinators and their Pro Bowl center. However, they have a favorable schedule, including five games against teams coming off Monday Night Football. With Aidan Hutchinson returning from injury, the Lions are expected to perform well, and their Super Bowl odds of 10-1 signal high expectations for the season.
The Kansas City Chiefs are unlikely to replicate their success in one-score games this season, with a challenging schedule that includes five prime-time games. The team's offensive line struggles and reliance on Patrick Mahomes will be tested early on, but they still have enough talent to potentially reach 11 wins.
Buffalo Bills Over 11.5 (-175)With Josh Allen at the helm, the Buffalo Bills are positioned to dominate the AFC East, despite some offseason struggles. The team's roster remains strong, and they face a manageable schedule after their season opener against the Ravens.
Baltimore Ravens Under 11.5 (-102)Having re-signed key players and bolstered their secondary, the Baltimore Ravens may face regression this season due to injury luck and roster changes. Their 12 wins from last season are not likely to be replicated.
Cincinnati Bengals Over 9.5 (-140)The Cincinnati Bengals are poised to improve from last season, with a more favorable schedule. However, they must navigate challenges from rival teams, especially with their defensive players' contracts in limbo.
Denver Broncos Over 9.5 (-110)With a strong defense and improvements on offense, the Denver Broncos are expected to contend for the AFC West title. Their recent draft and free-agent signings bolster their chances of winning 10 or 11 games this season.
Los Angeles Chargers Under 9.5 (-110)The Los Angeles Chargers made some offseason moves but may not have done enough to improve significantly. With quarterback Justin Herbert under pressure to perform, their playoff aspirations are questionable.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have made notable offseason moves, but questions about their overall strategy remain. With a challenging schedule and reliance on quarterback Aaron Rodgers to perform, their future is uncertain.
Miami Dolphins Over 7.5 (-110)The Miami Dolphins have an inviting early schedule and hope to capitalize on the talent of key players like Tyreek Hill and Tua Tagovailoa. Their ability to navigate injuries will be crucial for reaching their projected win total.
New York Giants Over 5.5 (+110)The New York Giants face an uphill battle with a tough early schedule, but improvements in their defensive front and the addition of Russell Wilson may help them reach six wins this season.
New Orleans Saints Over 4.5 (-160)With the departure of Derek Carr and the addition of new players, the New Orleans Saints are looking to rebuild. Their strong home advantage and solid defensive lineup could help them exceed expectations this season.
This season brings a lot of potential for every team in the NFL. As we gear up for an exciting year ahead, staying informed on each team's offseason developments and projected win totals will be key for making informed betting decisions. Whether you're a fan or a bettor, the anticipation of NFL action is palpable!
