The 2025 men’s NCAA tournament is shaping up to be a memorable event, not for its upsets, but for the dominance of the favorites during the opening weekend of March Madness. All four No. 1 seeds are still in contention, setting the stage for thrilling matchups in the Sweet 16. Houston narrowly escaped a late comeback from Gonzaga, while Florida relied on star guard Walter Clayton Jr. to secure victory over UConn in the round of 32. This season, the top teams have consistently showcased their superiority. Could we witness a Final Four composed entirely of No. 1 seeds for the first time since 2008? The bracket is packed with formidable challengers, including Alabama and BYU, who are gearing up for a high-scoring Sweet 16 clash. Meanwhile, teams like Michigan State, Michigan, Maryland, and Purdue are striving to bring the Big Ten its first national championship since 2000, while the SEC boasts seven teams advancing to the second weekend. The only double-digit seed remaining is John Calipari’s Arkansas squad, which hardly fits the underdog narrative. Here’s a detailed ranking of the Sweet 16 teams based on their championship prospects.
The Ole Miss Rebels have demonstrated that even the SEC’s middle tier can make an impact in the tournament. As a No. 6 seed, they entered their first-round matchup against North Carolina as underdogs, yet they dominated the first half, securing a decisive victory. In their second-round game against Iowa State, the Rebels displayed a balanced scoring attack, advancing to their first Sweet 16 since 2001. Senior guard Sean Pedulla is emerging as a star, supported by Matthew Murrell and Jaemyn Brakefield. Their journey to the second weekend is an impressive feat, and now they have nothing to lose.
In John Calipari’s first season at Arkansas, the team struggled with a sub-.500 conference record, but they found their rhythm at the right moment. The No. 10 seed Arkansas Razorbacks upset Kansas in their opener and defeated No. 2 seed St. John’s in a classic matchup. Arkansas’ quick guards excelled, while their forwards controlled the paint. Despite their double-digit seed status, this team boasts several five-star recruits and million-dollar NIL contracts, making them feel anything but typical. Their late-season resurgence has redefined their narrative.
The Arizona Wildcats are back in the Sweet 16 for the third time in four years, thanks in part to the explosive play of Caleb Love. His recent surge, highlighted by a stellar performance against Oregon, showcases his scoring prowess. Alongside him, Jaden Bradley and KJ Lewis offer vital contributions, while Carter Bryant and Tobe Awaka strengthen the team defensively and inside the paint.
Despite the absence of star player Zach Edey, the Purdue Boilermakers have successfully advanced past the first weekend of the tournament for the third time in four years. Braden Smith has stepped up, enhancing his game significantly, while junior Trey Kaufman-Renn continues to impress. With a team shooting an impressive 38.3 percent from beyond the arc, Purdue has shed its past label as a choker and is demonstrating efficiency on both ends of the floor.
The Michigan Wolverines entered the postseason on a downward trend but have since ignited their momentum. After winning the Big Ten tournament, they convincingly defeated No. 4 seed Texas A&M to reach the Sweet 16. The team’s size, featuring 7-foot players, creates matchup problems for opponents. Junior Roddy Gayle Jr. has emerged as a key player, scoring 26 points off the bench in their latest game, showcasing the turnaround under head coach Dusty May.
The BYU Cougars have made a significant leap under new head coach Kevin Young, marking their first Sweet 16 appearance since the days of Jimmer Fredette. Their high-octane offense dismantled Wisconsin in the round of 32, scoring an impressive 1.28 points per possession. Richie Saunders, Egor Demin, and the big men played pivotal roles in their victory, hinting at a promising future for BYU basketball.
The Kentucky Wildcats have shown a different dynamic this season with the addition of super-senior Lamont Butler. His experience proved invaluable in their round of 32 game against Illinois, where he led the team to victory. With a well-rounded roster, the Wildcats have the size and depth to compete with any team, reflecting a solid foundation in Mark Pope’s inaugural season.
The Maryland Terrapins faced a rollercoaster season, losing several close games but finally caught a break in the round of 32 when Derik Queen’s last-second shot propelled them into the Sweet 16. Queen’s combination of power and finesse makes him a standout player, supported by a talented lineup that includes Julian Reese and Rodney Rice. The challenge against Florida will be significant, but the Terps are ready to compete.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders eliminated Drake’s Cinderella run with a powerful display of basketball. Big man JT Toppin, a transfer from New Mexico, was unstoppable in the round of 32, contributing significantly to their victory. With a roster filled with skilled shooters and ball handlers, Texas Tech is poised to make a deep run in the tournament.
Under the leadership of Tom Izzo, the Michigan State Spartans have found their stride, winning 10 of their last 11 games. The team has shown resilience, even when star freshman Jase Richardson struggled in the round of 32. With the bracket favoring them, the Spartans are well-positioned for a potential Elite Eight matchup against Auburn.
The Alabama Crimson Tide have built on last year’s success, showcasing an even more talented roster. Their high-paced play style overwhelmed Saint Mary’s in the round of 32, demonstrating depth and athleticism. With key players like Chris Youngblood and Aden Holloway stepping up, Alabama is ready to challenge for the championship.
The Tennessee Volunteers are making their third consecutive Sweet 16 appearance after defeating UCLA. Guard Chaz Lanier has emerged as a star, setting a school record for three-pointers made in a game. With a strong and experienced lineup, Tennessee is primed for a deep tournament run.
The Houston Cougars have consistently showcased defensive prowess, limiting opponents’ scoring opportunities. Their victory over Gonzaga cements their status as a formidable force in the tournament. With a solid defense paired with an efficient offense, they are a tough matchup for any team.
The Auburn Tigers are showcasing their depth and skill, bouncing back from a shaky end to the regular season. Their performance against Creighton highlighted their ability to adapt, with freshman Tahaad Pettiford stepping up in a crucial moment. Auburn’s experience and rigorous schedule prepare them well for the challenges ahead.
The Florida Gators have emerged as a popular pick for the national championship, fueled by their strong performance in the SEC tournament. Their victory over UConn showcased their resilience, with Walter Clayton Jr. leading the charge. Florida’s strong guard play and team cohesion make them a formidable opponent.
The Duke Blue Devils possess a significant talent advantage, with an impressive lineup featuring Cooper Flagg and Khaman Maluach. Tyrese Proctor’s standout performance against Baylor illustrates the depth of talent on this team. With veteran role players contributing and a well-rounded approach, Duke is positioned as the team to beat in the 2025 tournament.
As the 2025 men's NCAA tournament progresses, the excitement continues to build. Each team in the Sweet 16 brings unique strengths and challenges, making this year's tournament one of the most competitive in recent memory. Stay tuned as the action unfolds!