In the first significant elections of President Donald Trump’s second term, voters across Virginia, New Jersey, California, and New York City are showcasing widespread dissatisfaction with Trump and both major political parties. Early results from the NBC News Exit Poll reveal a troubling sentiment among voters, with many expressing concerns about financial issues and the overall state of the economy.
The governor’s races in New Jersey and Virginia, along with a closely monitored mayoral election in New York City and a vital redistricting ballot measure in California, mark the first major Election Day of Trump’s second term. The outcomes of these elections are expected to provide an early glimpse into voter sentiments regarding Trump’s attempts to reshape Washington and the nation, offering crucial insights for candidates from both parties as they gear up for the pivotal midterm elections next year.
Voter approval ratings for Trump are notably low among those participating in the gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia, both of which have consistently voted against Trump in previous presidential elections. The polling data indicates that a significant portion of voters in these states express disapproval of Trump’s presidency, with 55% in New Jersey and 56% in Virginia indicating dissatisfaction. In the New York City mayoral race, only 29% of voters approve of Trump, while 36% of voters in California share similar sentiments.
The Democratic Party and Republican Party both face unfavorable views among voters in this election cycle. In states like Virginia, New Jersey, and California, more voters expressed negative feelings toward the Democratic Party than positive ones. The Republican Party, while slightly better received, still failed to garner a favorable view from a majority of voters in any surveyed state.
Voters in New Jersey and Virginia are expressing significant concern regarding the current trajectory of the country. In New Jersey, a striking 65% of voters reported feeling angry or dissatisfied with the nation’s direction, while only 33% expressed satisfaction or enthusiasm. Similarly, in Virginia, 63% of voters conveyed dissatisfaction, contrasting with a mere 35% who felt positively about the country’s prospects.
Economic concerns are paramount among voters in all surveyed states, with many citing the cost of living as the most pressing issue. In both Virginia and California, economic challenges topped voters’ lists of concerns. In New York City, 56% of voters identified the cost of living as the primary issue, whereas in New Jersey, taxes and economic conditions also ranked high on voters’ agendas.
Voter feedback indicates widespread financial apprehension, with many respondents reporting that they are either “holding steady” or falling behind financially. In New Jersey, a majority expressed that property taxes and electricity costs were “major” issues, with 60% of voters deeming the state’s economy as not so good or poor. In Virginia, a significant 60% of voters indicated that federal government cuts had adversely impacted their financial situations.
Regarding immigration, Trump has claimed that his previous election success in 2024 was due to his focus on border security and grocery prices. However, voters appear divided on his administration's immigration actions. A slim majority in New Jersey and Virginia believe that the Trump administration has been too aggressive in its immigration enforcement policies. Voter opinions vary significantly on state cooperation with the federal government on immigration, with many in New Jersey and New York City advocating for non-cooperation.
The NBC News Exit Poll, conducted by SSRS, an independent research firm, aims to shed light on voter sentiments during this crucial election cycle. The poll, which included representative samples from California, New Jersey, New York City, and Virginia, highlights the growing concerns surrounding economic issues and political dissatisfaction. As we approach the midterm elections, these insights will be invaluable for both parties as they navigate the evolving political landscape.
