As we dive into the new NFL season, it’s evident that a staggering ten teams currently sit at 0-2, facing the grim reality of a potentially lost season. Since the NFL expanded its playoff format to include seven teams from each conference in 2020, only 5 out of 41 teams (approximately 12.2%) that started the season 0-2 have managed to reach the postseason. Last year, the Baltimore Ravens, Denver Broncos, and Los Angeles Rams defied the odds and clawed their way back, while the Cincinnati Bengals and Houston Texans did the same in the previous season, as highlighted in our 2023 NFL Week 3 preview.
Delving into historical trends, from 1990 to the present, 35 out of 288 teams (again, about 12.2%) that began their seasons with an 0-2 record eventually made it to the playoffs. This consistency implies that approximately one team per season manages to reverse their fate. However, the situation becomes even more daunting: only three teams— the 1993 Dallas Cowboys, the 2001 New England Patriots, and the 2007 New York Giants— have managed to emerge from an 0-2 start to win the Super Bowl. The statistics are sobering: just one team, the 2018 Texans, has made the playoffs after starting 0-3 since the playoff expansion, while only five teams in NFL history have accomplished this (1.5%).
With ten teams languishing at 0-2 this season, history suggests that we may only see one team turn things around and contend for the playoffs. The question remains: which team will it be? Let’s analyze all ten teams, assess what we’ve learned thus far, and consider the remaining schedule. We’ll rank them from least to most likely to make a postseason appearance, along with betting recommendations.
Playoff odds: +1400 (bet365) | Division odds: +5000 (BetMGM)
The Giants participated in the most thrilling game of NFL Week 2, a nail-biting 40-37 overtime loss to the Dallas Cowboys. This high-scoring showdown featured two field goals, five touchdowns, and five lead changes in the final quarter, totaling nearly 1,000 yards of offense. Despite their offensive output, the Giants struggled due to poor execution, with a dismal running game and a defense that failed to stop the Cowboys. With two defeats against the other NFC East teams, and tough upcoming matchups against the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers, the Giants seem mired in a downward spiral.
Verdict: The Giants' playoff hopes are dimming rapidly.
Playoff odds: +700 (bet365) | Division odds: +8000 (BetMGM)
The Jets began the season with promise but faltered against the Pittsburgh Steelers after an encouraging Week 1. Their offense became predictable, struggling against the Buffalo Bills. With quarterback injuries complicating matters, the Jets face an uphill battle in a challenging schedule ahead. Their next opponents, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, have a strong run defense, making Week 3 a crucial moment for New York.
Verdict: The Jets may be entertaining, but they lack the overall potential to compete effectively this season.
Playoff odds: +1600 (bet365) | Division odds: +3000 (DraftKings)
The Saints have demonstrated surprising competitiveness in their first two games against playoff contenders. Although their offensive performance has been inconsistent, they have shown resilience, particularly on defense. However, key players like Alvin Kamara are at risk of injury, and their upcoming schedule poses significant challenges.
Verdict: While they have potential, the Saints' path to the playoffs is fraught with obstacles.
Playoff odds: +1400 (bet365) | Division odds: +12500 (BetMGM)
Despite a tough loss to the Ravens, the Browns' defense has shown promising signs, holding their opponents to minimal yardage. However, the offensive struggles persist, raising concerns about their ability to compete consistently. With a challenging schedule ahead, including matchups against the Green Bay Packers and Pittsburgh Steelers, the Browns face a steep uphill battle.
Verdict: The Browns may be stronger than perceived, but they appear to be more of a cover play than a realistic playoff contender.
Playoff odds: +900 (bet365) | Division odds: +1800 (BetMGM)
After a sluggish start, the Panthers showed some fight against the Arizona Cardinals, but their defense remains a concern. With a relatively easier schedule ahead, including matches against the Atlanta Falcons and New England Patriots, there is potential for a turnaround, although their performance thus far has raised doubts.
Verdict: The Panthers might need to rethink their strategy, especially concerning quarterback Bryce Young.
Playoff odds: +750 (bet365) | Division odds: +5000 (DraftKings)
The Dolphins’ season began on a sour note, losing to both the Colts and Patriots. While their offense showed glimpses of potential, defensive struggles have plagued them. The upcoming game against the Buffalo Bills could be a turning point, and a win could rejuvenate their playoff aspirations.
Verdict: The Dolphins need significant improvements, but a favorable upcoming schedule may offer a glimmer of hope.
Playoff odds: +135 (bet365) | Division odds: +250 (BetMGM)
The Texans’ close loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers highlighted their struggles on offense, but their defense has performed admirably. They face crucial matchups against the Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans that could dictate their season. If they can secure wins, they might find themselves in contention for the AFC South title.
Verdict: The Texans have potential, bolstered by a strong defense, making them a team to watch in the coming weeks.
Playoff odds: -185 (bet365) | Division odds: +250 (BetMGM)
In a shocking twist, the Chiefs find themselves at 0-2, marking a rare moment in Patrick Mahomes' career. Despite their struggles, including missed opportunities and defensive weaknesses, the Chiefs still possess the star power to recover. With the return of key offensive players on the horizon, there is still hope for a turnaround.
Verdict: While the Chiefs face challenges, their potential for recovery makes them a compelling team to watch as the season progresses.
In summary, as the NFL season unfolds, the plight of the 0-2 teams offers a captivating narrative. With playoff hopes hanging by a thread, every game counts. The coming weeks will reveal whether any of these struggling teams can overcome their challenges and ignite a comeback.
