In an exciting week of NFL action, the New England Patriots and Jacksonville Jaguars emerged as two potential ascending teams, each securing significant victories during primetime slots. Meanwhile, the Baltimore Ravens continue their troubling descent, suffering a severe defeat at the hands of the Houston Texans. With a disappointing record of 1-4, questions loom over the Ravens' playoff aspirations and overall season outlook.
For those looking to enhance their NFL experience, consider subscribing to PFF+. This premium service provides access to advanced statistics, in-season tools, projections, and the new PFF Player Prop Tool, empowering you to make informed decisions whether you're betting or managing your fantasy team.
The following power rankings offer an in-depth look at each NFL team's market assessment, illustrating their standings and future prospects. These rankings go beyond simple win-loss records and playoff seeding; they also take into account factors such as player performance grades, offensive and defensive efficiencies, historical performances, and strength of schedule. This nuanced approach explains why teams with poorer records can rank higher than those enjoying better outcomes against weaker competition.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 95% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 16%
The Buffalo Bills entered Week 5 as one of the top teams in the league. Despite a narrow 23-20 loss to the Patriots, their overall performance remains strong. The offense faced issues with turnovers, while the defense allowed multiple explosive plays. At 4-1, the Bills still hold the highest Super Bowl odds in the NFL.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 79% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 9%
After a tough Week 1, the Detroit Lions have rebounded impressively, notching four consecutive wins, including a decisive 37-24 victory against the Bengals. Amon-Ra St. Brown stands out with a stellar 90.5 PFF grade, solidifying the Lions as contenders in the competitive NFC North.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 84% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 9%
The Philadelphia Eagles suffered their first loss of the season in a 21-17 home game against the Broncos. The team struggled offensively, deviating from the strategies that led to their previous success. Despite Jalen Hurts' solid performance, the Eagles now face critical adjustments moving forward.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 69% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 9%
After a loss to the Jaguars, the Kansas City Chiefs find themselves below .500. Patrick Mahomes' leading rushing performance raises concerns about the team's running game, and they may need to explore trade options or increase rookie Brashard Smith's involvement.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 77% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 7%
The Green Bay Packers enjoyed a bye week, allowing them to regroup after a rough patch. They have shown promise early in the season, ranking among the top teams in both offensive and defensive EPA per play. Fans are hopeful for a strong return against the Bengals.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 65% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 5%
The Los Angeles Rams faced a tough matchup against the 49ers but remain a team to watch. Despite the loss, they continue to rank highly in EPA per play on both offense and defense, indicating potential for success as the season progresses.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 55% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 4%
Returning from injury, Jayden Daniels impressed in the Commanders’ victory over the Chargers, earning an 85.9 overall PFF grade. At 3-2, the Commanders are starting to find their footing as they aim to build on this momentum.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 64% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 5%
With a stunning win over the Eagles, the Denver Broncos showcased their potential. Courtland Sutton's standout performance and the defense's ability to pressure Jalen Hurts were key factors in their success, marking a turning point for the team.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 48% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 3%
The Houston Texans delivered a remarkable performance against the Ravens, winning 44-10. Quarterback C.J. Stroud shined with four touchdown passes, suggesting a bright future for the young team moving forward.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 66% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 4%
Struggling with consistency, the Los Angeles Chargers fell to the Commanders after an early lead. Mistakes and penalties hampered their performance, leaving them at a crossroads as they look to regain their footing in a competitive AFC West.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 81% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 4%
Despite a strong season start, Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have faced challenges. Their recent win against the Seahawks showcased Mayfield's potential as an MVP candidate, but maintaining consistency will be crucial moving forward.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 37% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 2%
The Minnesota Vikings managed a hard-fought win against the Browns, displaying resilience despite a depleted roster. Their defense has performed admirably, ranking second in EPA per play allowed, which bodes well for the team's future.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 41% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 2%
Although the Seattle Seahawks lost a nail-biter, their performance against a top offense highlighted their competitive edge. They now face a challenging matchup against the Jaguars in their next game.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 78% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 4%
The Jacksonville Jaguars secured a signature win against the Chiefs, demonstrating their capability to compete at a high level. With a strong defense and a promising offense, the Jaguars are positioned to make a significant impact this season.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 72% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 4%
Following a decisive victory over the Raiders, the Indianapolis Colts are gaining momentum. Their comprehensive performance across all phases highlights their potential as a playoff contender.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 75% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 3%
The San Francisco 49ers continue to find ways to win, even with limited offensive contributions. Their recent overtime victory against the Rams is a testament to their resilience and ability to adapt.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 78% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 4%
After a bye week, the Pittsburgh Steelers are in a favorable position in the AFC North, thanks to the struggles of their division rivals. Their upcoming divisional matchups will be critical as they aim to solidify their playoff chances.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 39% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 1%
The Atlanta Falcons are looking to build on their recent success following a bye week. With a tough matchup against the Bills on the horizon, consistency will be key for their postseason aspirations.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 21% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 1%
The Chicago Bears are looking to continue their winning momentum following a bye week. With promising performances from rookie quarterback Caleb Williams, the Bears are poised for growth in the coming games.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 17% | Chance of Making Super Bowl:
The Dallas Cowboys offense has been explosive, with Dak Prescott performing at an MVP level. Their upcoming game against the Panthers could present an opportunity to close the gap on their division rivals.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 62% | Chance of Making Super Bowl: 2%
Drake Maye's impressive performance in the primetime win over the Bills has raised hopes for the New England Patriots. As they prepare for their next games against the Saints, Titans, and Browns, the Patriots are on an upward trajectory.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 10% | Chance of Making Super Bowl:
After a promising start, the Arizona Cardinals have fallen on hard times. Recent mistakes have cost them crucial points, and they will need to regroup to avoid further losses.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 15% | Chance of Making Super Bowl:
The Carolina Panthers showcased their offensive potential in a close win against the Dolphins. However, their tendency to fall behind early is a concerning trend that needs addressing if they want to compete effectively.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 8% | Chance of Making Super Bowl:
The Las Vegas Raiders continue to disappoint, with their struggles leading to a dismal 1-4 record. As they seek to turn things around, their performance remains a source of frustration for fans and analysts alike.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 22% | Chance of Making Super Bowl:
After a tumultuous start, the Baltimore Ravens are facing an uphill battle. Without key players, their chances of recovery are slim, especially with a challenging matchup against the Rams looming.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 9% | Chance of Making Super Bowl:
The Miami Dolphins are struggling, currently sitting with a 1-4 record. Defensive issues persist, and they must address these problems if they hope to salvage their season.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 16% | Chance of Making Super Bowl:
The Cincinnati Bengals appear to be losing steam, having lost three consecutive games. With their playoff chances dwindling, a change in strategy may be necessary to revitalize their season.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 1% | Chance of Making Super Bowl:
Following a promising debut, Jaxson Dart and the New York Giants faced a setback against the Saints. While there are signs of hope, their defense needs significant improvement to become competitive.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 3% | Chance of Making Super Bowl:
The New York Jets remain winless after a tough loss to the Cowboys. With ongoing issues affecting performance, a turnaround will be critical as they navigate the remainder of the season.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 7% | Chance of Making Super Bowl:
Despite showing potential in a close game against the Vikings, the Cleveland Browns must address consistency on both sides of the ball if they aim to improve their playoff chances.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 4% | Chance of Making Super Bowl:
The Tennessee Titans finally secured their first win of the season, showcasing improved offensive line play. This victory could be a morale boost as they move forward.
Chance of Making Playoffs: 3% | Chance of Making Super Bowl:
The New Orleans Saints continue to struggle, with limited chances for playoff contention. As the season progresses, they will need to find ways to turn things around to avoid a disappointing outcome.
