This afternoon, the Boston Celtics (0-2) will clash with the New York Knicks (2-0) in Game 3 of their highly anticipated second round NBA Playoff series. The matchup is set to tip off at 3:30 p.m. ET at the iconic Madison Square Garden in New York City. Basketball fans can catch all the action live on ABC.
As the game approaches, the Celtics are favored by 5.5 points against the Knicks, with the spread listed at Celtics -5.5. The over/under for total points is set at 206.5, allowing fans to predict a potential high or low-scoring affair. For those interested in outright victories, Boston is currently a -245 favorite, while New York sits at +200 for an upset win.
For today's matchup, my top recommendation is to bet on Boston to cover the spread. The best line currently available can be found at BetMGM. Remember to check our live NBA odds page to ensure you're getting the most favorable price. My official pick for this game is Celtics -5.5 (-115).
The first two games of this series revealed significant discrepancies in team performances. In Game 1, the Celtics struggled with their shooting, particularly from beyond the arc, taking a plethora of long-range attempts without generating quality looks. However, in Game 2, they managed to create better catch-and-shoot opportunities, yet they failed to capitalize, opting to diversify their offensive strategy instead of sticking to their three-point game.
The New York Knicks capitalized on these mistakes, winning two games despite only playing well during select quarters. The Celtics need to recalibrate their strategy to avoid falling further behind in the series. Their path to victory includes improving defensive play and executing their offense more effectively to create higher-quality scoring chances.
Derrick White has been a focal point in the series, averaging six catch-and-shoot three-point attempts during the regular season but significantly increasing that number to ten attempts in the playoffs. This shift highlights the Knicks' strong defense, and while Boston must improve, it’s essential to recognize that the Knicks will also be making adjustments.
Boston's coach, Joe Mazzulla, faces pressure to adapt his game plan. The Celtics have shown resilience, boasting a record of 9-4 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) after a loss under Mazzulla. Historically, they are 23-10 SU and ATS following a loss since the 2019-20 season. With the series on the line, this game is critical for Boston, which is why I favor them as the team to win in Game 3.
From a scoring perspective, I project the total points in this game to reach 207, surpassing the set over/under of 206.5. Since 2003, games where a team is up 2-0 heading home for Game 3 have seen an over record of 16-6, with an average total differential of +4.7. The initial line of 210.5 has shifted down to 206.5, indicating a significant market correction that may be overly conservative.
Regarding individual performances, I recommend betting on Derrick White to score over 16.5 points. He has exceeded this line in his last three games and is likely to continue receiving quality opportunities from three-point range. Additionally, Payton Pritchard’s line of over 1.5 three-pointers made is an enticing option. If the Celtics secure a comfortable win, Pritchard is expected to contribute, particularly during garbage time.
As we approach this pivotal Game 3, both teams are prepared to showcase their strengths and make crucial adjustments. Fans and bettors alike should stay tuned for an exhilarating matchup between the Celtics and Knicks.
