As part of the exciting Bracket Central series, this article offers an in-depth look at the lead-up to both the men’s and women’s NCAA Tournaments. Here, we present The Athletic’s comprehensive projections for the 2025 Men’s NCAA Tournament, detailing each team's chances of advancing through the thrilling weekends of March Madness and ultimately claiming victory in San Antonio on April 7.
These projections are meticulously crafted based on a staggering 200,000 simulations of the 68-team bracket. Each simulation considers various factors, including a team’s projected strength and its specific path to the coveted national title. This extensive analysis allows fans and analysts alike to gain insights into how each team might perform as they chase their championship dreams.
All projections are rounded to the nearest whole number, providing a clear and concise view of each team's chances. As the tournament unfolds, these projections will be updated following the completion of every tournament game, ensuring that fans stay informed about their favorite teams' prospects.
It is important to note that The Athletic maintains full editorial independence. Our sponsors do not exert any control over or provide input into our reporting or editing processes, nor do they review stories before publication. This commitment to integrity ensures that our projections and analyses are credible and based solely on data-driven insights.
For those interested in the details of our projection model, more information is available at the bottom of the page. Dive deeper into the mechanics behind these predictions and understand how we arrive at the numbers that shape your March Madness experience.
Stay tuned for the latest updates and analyses as the tournament progresses, and join us in celebrating the excitement of the NCAA Tournament!
